Ascoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASC
42%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
ASC
2 - 2
USF
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
USC
0 - 1
ASC
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ASC
2 - 4
SAL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ASC
0 - 3
PRG
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 0
BEN
24%
27%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 0
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LIV
1 - 0
VNZ
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LEC
3 - 2
LIV
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 0
NUO
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |