Ascoli vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 0
ASC
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 1
ASC
22%
29%
50%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
2 - 0
SPE
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
ASC
24%
29%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 2
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
CRO
30%
27%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
0 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 0
CRO
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |