Ascoli vs Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAR
4 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 1
EMP
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
NUO
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
UDI
0 - 0
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ASA
5 - 0
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
ACP
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 3
VIR
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |