Ascoli vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 0
ASC
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 1
CTT
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
EMP
4 - 2
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 2
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
VIC
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
ANC
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
0 - 0
CES
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
3 - 1
FRO
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |