Ascoli U19 vs SSC Bari U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
14º
2º
31
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ASC
2 - 1
CRO
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CCS
1 - 2
ASC
27%
23%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ASC
1 - 1
SAL
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 2
ASC
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ASC
5 - 3
MNP
77%
14%
10%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 2
NAP
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TER
4 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 0
MNP
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 3
PES
40%
21%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPE
0 - 0
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |