Asco B vs Xerta A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
49.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 6
ASC
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 4
GAN
41%
21%
39%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 2
ASC
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OME
6 - 0
ASC
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 3
HSJ
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Xerta A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
XER
3 - 2
UDA
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
XER
1 - 1
COR
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OME
2 - 0
XER
66%
17%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
XER
4 - 1
TES
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 3
XER
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |