ASCK Simbach vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
76.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASCK Simbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SIM
0 - 2
EKA
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
WAS
3 - 0
SIM
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 2
FCT
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 1
SIM
85%
10%
4%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SIM
0 - 2
ASD
8%
14%
79%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DJK
2 - 4
ERL
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ERL
2 - 0
CTR
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LAN
3 - 3
ERL
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ERL
2 - 0
TSV
83%
12%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 0
ERL
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |