ASC Karib vs Le Geldar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
8º
6º
38
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 10 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 5 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
3 | 3 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASC Karib
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 3
REM
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
USC
1 - 0
ASK
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ASK
3 - 2
SOU
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ASK
0 - 1
GRA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASK
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Le Geldar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GEL
7 - 0
CHA
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GEL
6 - 3
REM
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SIN
0 - 0
GEL
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GEL
3 - 0
ODC
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GEL
1 - 1
GRA
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |