HLM vs Pikine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
HLM
1 - 2
DUC
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
HLM
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
HLM
2 - 1
OUA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
NIA
0 - 0
HLM
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
HLM
1 - 2
JAR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pikine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PIK
0 - 0
DAD
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
DUC
1 - 0
PIK
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
PIK
3 - 0
ASS
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
OUA
0 - 1
PIK
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PIK
2 - 0
NIA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |