HLM vs ASSUR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
OUA
1 - 0
HLM
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
HLM
1 - 1
NIA
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
JAR
1 - 1
HLM
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ASSUR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 1
PIK
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
DUC
0 - 1
ASS
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DAD
0 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |