HLM vs Dahra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
HLM
1 - 1
PIK
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
HLM
1 - 2
DUC
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
HLM
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
HLM
2 - 1
OUA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
NIA
0 - 0
HLM
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dahra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
DAD
0 - 0
LAL
41%
29%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PIK
0 - 0
DAD
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
DAD
1 - 0
GOR
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
DUC
2 - 0
DAD
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DAD
0 - 0
YAR
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |