Dahra vs Pikine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dahra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NIA
3 - 0
DAD
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 0
DAD
50%
29%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
DAD
0 - 0
JAR
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DAD
0 - 0
CAS
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
YEG
1 - 1
DAD
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pikine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PIK
2 - 0
ASD
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
PIK
2 - 0
NIA
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
YEG
1 - 1
PIK
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
PIK
1 - 0
MPC
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
JAR
4 - 1
PIK
53%
27%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |