Åsane vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
15º
12º
16
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Åsane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
LSK
2 - 2
ASA
72%
18%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ASA
2 - 1
SKE
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ODD
1 - 0
ASA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ASA
2 - 1
RAN
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
ASA
0 - 7
VKG
14%
18%
68%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
MOS
3 - 1
HOD
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MJO
2 - 2
MOS
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 3
IKS
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 1
SKE
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ODD
2 - 0
MOS
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |