ASA Aarhus vs Aarhus Fremad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
56.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
9º
8º
28
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
1 - 1
ASA
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 3
ODD
21%
19%
61%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
FRS
3 - 0
ASA
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 0
ASA
79%
13%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ASA
3 - 0
KJE
26%
20%
54%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ODD
1 - 0
AAR
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
AAR
3 - 0
DJU
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HED
0 - 0
AAR
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AAR
2 - 1
MAR
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
SYD
0 - 2
AAR
21%
21%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |