Viterbo vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viterbo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GAL
4 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 2
VIG
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
TAR
0 - 1
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCI
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ASM
3 - 2
TAR
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
RIE
0 - 1
ASM
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ASM
0 - 0
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
COS
2 - 1
ASM
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ASM
0 - 0
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |