Varese vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 0
VAR
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 0
VAR
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 2
ACD
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 1
CTT
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 1
VIC
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PES
0 - 0
TRA
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |