Varese vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 0
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 2
PES
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LAT
0 - 3
VAR
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
TER
74%
19%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
TER
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
TER
50%
27%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |