Varese vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 1
PES
42%
32%
26%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
UDI
1 - 0
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
NOC
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEC
50%
30%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 1
TER
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
PAL
3 - 1
TER
51%
30%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
TER
2 - 1
SAM
47%
30%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |