Varese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
18.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 0
VAR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
TOR
3 - 0
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAV
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
TOR
27%
30%
43%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
CAM
0 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
SSS
1 - 0
USC
42%
32%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 1
SSS
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAL
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
PRG
3 - 0
SSS
45%
33%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
SSS
1 - 1
ATL
48%
32%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |