Varese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
PIS
0 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIM
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
CAV
0 - 0
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
USF
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
CAV
2 - 1
SSS
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
SSS
0 - 0
BRE
43%
33%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
PIS
2 - 2
SSS
54%
28%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
SSS
3 - 0
RIM
46%
31%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
VER
2 - 0
SSS
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |