Varese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
35%
29%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
ATL
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
COM
3 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIC
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
PES
1 - 0
VAR
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ASS
4 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 1
TAR
45%
32%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
73%
20%
8%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 0
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |