Varese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
12.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
33%
32%
36%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
AVE
3 - 0
VAR
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 0
SPA
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 2
JUV
7%
18%
75%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
INT
3 - 0
SSS
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSS
48%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 3
TER
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |