Varese vs Juve Stabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
REG
3 - 2
VAR
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
PAD
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EMP
1 - 2
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 2
VAR
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAS
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juve Stabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
JUS
1 - 0
BAR
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
JUS
71%
20%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
JUS
2 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 3
JUS
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
REG
1 - 2
JUS
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |