Varese vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
USA
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
VAR
61%
24%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASF
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SOR
2 - 1
ASF
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 0
SOR
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 2
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 0
SOR
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
COS
7 - 0
SOR
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |