Varese vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 0
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
ARZ
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 1
CES
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 1
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SAS
1 - 1
ASL
33%
30%
37%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
SAS
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 2
ACL
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
ARZ
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
SAS
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |