Serie B Playoffs Title Play-off Final
Global 2-4
Varese vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 2
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAM
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 2
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 1
SAM
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAS
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAM
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 3
PES
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |