Varese vs Pontisola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 4
RSO
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
VAR
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAM
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 2
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ASG
4 - 5
PON
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PON
3 - 1
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
PON
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
PON
1 - 2
STE
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 1
PON
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |