Varese vs Crotone analysis

Varese Crotone
70 ELO 68
3.4% Tilt -7.9%
18657º General ELO ranking 1371º
433º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Varese
25.3%
Draw
26.8%
Crotone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
Varese
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.8%
Win probability
Crotone
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Varese
Crotone
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varese
Varese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2013
BAR
SSC Bari
2 - 1
Varese
VAR
44%
28%
29%
70 68 2 0
01 Nov. 2013
VAR
Varese
2 - 2
Juve Stabia
JUS
64%
21%
15%
70 61 9 0
26 Oct. 2013
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 0
Varese
VAR
69%
19%
12%
70 78 8 0
19 Oct. 2013
EMP
Empoli
2 - 0
Varese
VAR
59%
23%
19%
70 74 4 0
13 Oct. 2013
VAR
Varese
0 - 0
Trapani
TRA
56%
23%
21%
71 65 6 -1

Matches

Crotone
Crotone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2013
CAR
AC Carpi
1 - 2
Crotone
CRO
27%
27%
46%
68 61 7 0
01 Nov. 2013
CRO
Crotone
2 - 2
Novara
NOV
43%
26%
32%
68 71 3 0
26 Oct. 2013
TER
Ternana Calcio
2 - 3
Crotone
CRO
36%
27%
37%
68 65 3 0
19 Oct. 2013
CRO
Crotone
1 - 2
Virtus Lanciano
VIR
55%
24%
21%
68 65 3 0
13 Oct. 2013
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 2
Crotone
CRO
47%
26%
27%
67 69 2 +1