Varese vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
VAR
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
JUS
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
EMP
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 0
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
CRO
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 2
NOV
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TER
2 - 3
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
CRO
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |