Varese vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 2
VAR
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
CTT
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
VAR
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
VAR
19%
27%
54%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 3
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 2
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
LEO
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |