Varese vs Crotone analysis

Varese Crotone
71 ELO 67
4.8% Tilt -7.8%
18657º General ELO ranking 1371º
433º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
55.6%
Varese
23.8%
Draw
20.6%
Crotone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
Varese
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
Crotone
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Varese
Crotone
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varese
Varese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2013
GRO
Grosseto
2 - 2
Varese
VAR
31%
27%
43%
72 59 13 0
27 Apr. 2013
VAR
Varese
2 - 0
Cittadella
CTT
60%
22%
18%
71 65 6 +1
20 Apr. 2013
TER
Ternana Calcio
0 - 1
Varese
VAR
35%
29%
36%
71 66 5 0
16 Apr. 2013
LEO
Pro Vercelli
2 - 1
Varese
VAR
19%
27%
54%
71 56 15 0
13 Apr. 2013
VAR
Varese
1 - 3
Livorno
LIV
46%
26%
28%
72 74 2 -1

Matches

Crotone
Crotone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2013
CRO
Crotone
2 - 1
Modena
MOD
46%
26%
28%
67 68 1 0
27 Apr. 2013
VIR
Virtus Lanciano
1 - 1
Crotone
CRO
34%
27%
39%
67 62 5 0
20 Apr. 2013
CRO
Crotone
2 - 2
Reggina
REG
46%
26%
28%
67 68 1 0
16 Apr. 2013
PAD
Padova
2 - 1
Crotone
CRO
42%
27%
32%
67 66 1 0
13 Apr. 2013
CRO
Crotone
2 - 1
Pro Vercelli
LEO
71%
19%
10%
67 57 10 0