Varese vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ASS
3 - 1
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 2
PER
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 1
VAR
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 1
SOR
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PRG
2 - 1
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
PER
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
3 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |