Varese vs AC Sambonifacese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
USI
2 - 2
VAR
52%
25%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
NOV
4 - 3
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 0
POL
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PER
0 - 2
VAR
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
VAR
4 - 0
ACM
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AC Sambonifacese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 2
COM
31%
27%
43%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 0
ACS
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 1
USA
15%
23%
62%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FCS
1 - 0
ACS
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 1
FCC
23%
25%
53%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +4 |