Varese vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
VAR
58%
26%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARZ
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 0
PRG
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ACL
3 - 2
FOL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACL
33%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FCV
2 - 2
ACL
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ACL
1 - 0
ARZ
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 3
ACL
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |