Varese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
ABN
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PIS
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 3
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ARZ
0 - 1
CTT
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
REG
1 - 2
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 2
ARZ
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 2
PRO
33%
26%
42%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARZ
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |