As Sersale vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCI
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
85%
10%
4%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GLA
2 - 1
ASS
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
CAV
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
ASS
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GLA
0 - 1
GEL
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 0
DTO
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 0
POM
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 1
GEL
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 1
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |