Real Bamako vs US Monastir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TPM
3 - 1
ASR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
ASR
31%
30%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 0
USF
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
BAM
0 - 3
ASR
30%
31%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 1
DJO
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
US Monastir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 0
USM
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
YOU
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ASR
0 - 2
USM
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
USM
0 - 1
BEN
45%
30%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
COS
0 - 0
USM
16%
26%
57%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |