Real Bamako vs Debo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
USF
0 - 3
ASR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
ASR
1 - 0
MAM
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
POL
3 - 1
ASR
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
ASR
1 - 0
ASB
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
KIT
3 - 0
ASR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Debo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
DEB
2 - 1
SKE
35%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
BAK
3 - 1
DEB
51%
28%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
DEB
0 - 3
USF
35%
29%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
DEB
1 - 2
DJO
40%
30%
29%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MAM
1 - 1
DEB
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |