Real Bamako vs Bakaridjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
ASN
1 - 2
ASR
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
ASR
1 - 2
POL
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
STA
1 - 0
ASR
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
ASR
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
ASB
0 - 0
ASR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bakaridjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
BAK
1 - 0
ASB
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
BAK
0 - 1
STA
37%
29%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
SAB
1 - 2
BAK
35%
30%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
BAK
1 - 1
DUG
40%
29%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
BAK
0 - 0
ONZ
39%
30%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |