Pueu vs Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
+1
9.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
15.3%
67.5%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
4.5%
3-5
1.5%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
2.8%
3-6
0.8%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
1.4%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
8º
8º
33
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
OFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pueu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
5 - 1
PUE
71%
15%
13%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 7
PIR
24%
18%
58%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TEF
3 - 3
PUE
74%
13%
12%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 1
CEN
64%
18%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TEM
4 - 1
PUE
35%
21%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TEF
2 - 3
DRA
45%
19%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
17 - 0
ASJ
93%
5%
2%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 0
OLY
91%
6%
3%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 0
VEN
50%
19%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
2 - 1
PIR
49%
19%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |