ASPL 2000 vs Pamplemousses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPL 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
APL
3 - 1
CER
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
APL
1 - 1
ASD
55%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
BOL
0 - 2
APL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 2
APL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
APL
2 - 0
PET
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pamplemousses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ASD
2 - 4
PAM
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAM
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
CUR
2 - 4
PAM
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 0
ENT
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CER
0 - 0
PAM
51%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |