As Pontes vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDO
4 - 0
ASP
75%
17%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASP
5 - 1
CUL
46%
26%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAL
1 - 0
ASP
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASP
0 - 1
PON
19%
24%
56%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CDD
2 - 1
ASP
47%
25%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NEG
0 - 1
VIL
43%
27%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALO
2 - 1
NEG
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CER
3 - 0
NEG
65%
21%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NEG
1 - 1
CDO
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CUL
2 - 0
NEG
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |