As Pontes vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 0
ASP
73%
18%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASP
1 - 3
VIL
27%
26%
47%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ORD
0 - 1
ASP
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ASP
0 - 2
ARO
20%
24%
55%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
ASP
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
CDC
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALO
0 - 2
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
DEP
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |