As Pontes vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CDD
1 - 2
ASP
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASP
2 - 2
SOM
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BOI
2 - 1
ASP
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASP
0 - 1
ORD
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NEG
3 - 3
ASP
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 1
LAR
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
CHO
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARO
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CUL
2 - 2
CHO
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 0
GRI
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |