As Pontes vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
ALO
2 - 2
ASP
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1964 |
ASP
4 - 1
COX
88%
9%
4%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 2
ACF
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1964 |
FOZ
3 - 2
CHO
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
CHO
4 - 1
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ACF
1 - 1
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |