Performance vs Avenir de Tombouctou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Performance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ASB
2 - 1
ASP
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ASP
0 - 3
BAK
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ASP
1 - 1
ASN
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SON
0 - 1
ASP
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
ASP
1 - 1
POL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avenir de Tombouctou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
TOM
1 - 1
POL
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TOM
2 - 4
ASR
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TOM
0 - 1
MAM
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TOM
0 - 0
LAF
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
DJO
4 - 0
TOM
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |