OTR vs Espoir FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DMG
0 - 2
ASO
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ASO
2 - 0
TAM
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GBI
2 - 2
ASO
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DYN
0 - 1
ASO
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASO
1 - 3
GOM
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Espoir FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
ACS
48%
27%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
TOG
1 - 1
EST
45%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
EST
4 - 1
DMG
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ENT
0 - 0
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |