OTR vs Entente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASO
1 - 0
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 1
ASO
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ASO
2 - 0
ASK
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GBO
0 - 0
ASO
46%
27%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ASO
1 - 2
ASC
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Entente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DMG
2 - 0
ENT
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GBO
2 - 2
ENT
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ENT
0 - 1
TAM
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ASC
4 - 0
ENT
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ENT
0 - 0
TOG
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |