OTR vs AS Binah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
8º
5º
38
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
54% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
78% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
KKA
1 - 1
ASO
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASO
0 - 0
TOG
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASO
1 - 0
ANG
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 0
ASO
48%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
SSF
1 - 3
ASO
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AS Binah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
ASB
1 - 2
GBO
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
TAM
0 - 2
ASB
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
ASB
0 - 0
ACS
59%
20%
20%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ASB
0 - 0
TOG
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 0
ASB
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |