Novazzano vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
ESC
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
IBA
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HER
7 - 0
NOV
66%
18%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
TAV
32%
22%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
21%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
HOC
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUG
49%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 4
GOL
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |