Novazzano vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EMM
6 - 1
NOV
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
TAV
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 2
NOV
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 4
ESC
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
MEN
3 - 4
NOV
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
HER
2 - 0
GOL
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LUZ
1 - 0
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 0
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
EMM
2 - 1
HER
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |