Novazzano vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 3
FCC
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
EMM
4 - 3
NOV
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PER
0 - 2
NOV
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 1
FCS
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
IBA
5 - 3
NOV
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
BRU
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
LUZ
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EMM
4 - 2
HER
60%
19%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
FCC
42%
22%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |